Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Newton-le-Willows?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Yorkshire and the Humber118 m elevation1 km local model
9%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Newton-le-Willows

The calibrated long-range estimate for Newton-le-Willows is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2020.

9%

White Christmas

5%

Snow on the Day

6%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Newton-le-Willows, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

6of 34

1990s

91
92
White Christmas
93
94
White Christmas
95
White Christmas
96
97
98
99

2000s

00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

White Christmas
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

2020s

White Christmas
20
21
22
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Newton-le-Willows

Elevation

118 m

Region

Yorkshire and the Humber

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Newton-le-Willows sits at 118 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Newton-le-Willows this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 9% chance of a white Christmas in Newton-le-Willows in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Newton-le-Willows have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Newton-le-Willows is 9%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Newton-le-Willows last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Newton-le-Willows in our 1991–2024 records was 2020.