Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Cardiff?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Wales17 m elevation1 km local model
1%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Cardiff
Over the 34 years from 1991–2024, Cardiff has had a white Christmas fewer than 1 year in 10: 0 of 34 years saw snow fall on Christmas Eve or Day.
1%
White Christmas
0%
Snow on the Day
0%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Cardiff, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
0of 34
1990s
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
2010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Cardiff
Elevation
17 m
Region
Wales
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Cardiff sits at 17 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Cardiff this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 1% chance of a white Christmas in Cardiff in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Cardiff have a white Christmas?
- Over 1991–2024, snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day in Cardiff fewer than 1 year in 10 (0 of 34 years).
- When did Cardiff last have a white Christmas?
- Our 1991–2024 records show no white Christmas in Cardiff. Snow on the day here is rare.