Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Haxton?
Christmas Day snow odds for Haxton, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
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Christmas snow in Haxton
The calibrated long-range estimate for Haxton is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
6%
White Christmas
5%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Haxton, 1991–2024
Modelled history
Estimated falling snow on Christmas Eve or Day
4of 34
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
About Haxton
Elevation
84 m
Region
South West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Haxton sits at 84 m.
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Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Haxton this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 6% chance of a white Christmas in Haxton in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Haxton have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Haxton is 6%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Haxton this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (32 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter, usually first around 29 January. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
- When did Haxton last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent modelled Christmas snow signal for Haxton was 2009, in our 1991–2024 reconstruction. This covers falling snow on 24 or 25 December; it is not a verified observation of snowfall on Christmas Day.