Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Haxton?
6%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas
Christmas Day snow odds for Haxton, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
What history says
Christmas snow in Haxton
The calibrated long-range estimate for Haxton is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2009.
6%
White Christmas
5%
Snow on the Day
3%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Haxton, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
4of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
93White Christmas
94White Christmas
9596
97
98
99
2000s
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Haxton
Elevation
84 m
Region
South West England
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Haxton sits at 84 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Haxton this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 6% chance of a white Christmas in Haxton in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Haxton have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Haxton is 6%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Haxton this winter?
- Quite possibly, though not every winter. At Lyneham, the nearest long-running weather station (32 km away), snow has settled in 65% of winters, on about 2.6 days a winter, usually first around 29 January. Snow lies there in December in 30% of years.
- When did Haxton last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Haxton in our 1991–2024 records was 2009.