Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Coignashie?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland384 m elevation1 km local model
31%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Coignashie
The calibrated long-range estimate for Coignashie is about 3 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.
31%
White Christmas
19%
Snow on the Day
17%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Coignashie, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
21of 34
1990s
90
White Christmas
9192
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
9596
White Christmas
97White Christmas
98White Christmas
992000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
White Christmas
0405
06
White Christmas
07White Christmas
08White Christmas
092010s
White Christmas
1011
White Christmas
12White Christmas
13White Christmas
14White Christmas
1516
White Christmas
1718
White Christmas
192020s
20
White Christmas
21White Christmas
22White Christmas
2324
25
26
27
28
29
About Coignashie
Elevation
384 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Coignashie sits at 384 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Coignashie this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 31% chance of a white Christmas in Coignashie in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Coignashie have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Coignashie is 31%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Coignashie last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Coignashie in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.