Local Christmas forecast · 2026

White Christmas in Coignashie?

Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.

Scotland384 m elevation1 km local model
31%Chance of a white Christmas

What history says

Christmas snow in Coignashie

The calibrated long-range estimate for Coignashie is about 3 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.

31%

White Christmas

19%

Snow on the Day

17%

Snow on the Eve

Christmases in Coignashie, 1991–2024

Observed history

Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day

21of 34

1990s

White Christmas
91
92
White Christmas
93
94
White Christmas
95
96
White Christmas
97
White Christmas
98
White Christmas
99

2000s

White Christmas
00
01
02
03
White Christmas
04
05
06
White Christmas
07
White Christmas
08
White Christmas
09

2010s

White Christmas
10
11
White Christmas
12
White Christmas
13
White Christmas
14
White Christmas
15
16
White Christmas
17
18
White Christmas
19

2020s

20
White Christmas
21
White Christmas
22
White Christmas
23
24
White ChristmasNo recorded snow

About Coignashie

Elevation

384 m

Region

Scotland

Model

1 km, in-house

Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Coignashie sits at 384 m.

Nearby places

Frequently asked questions

Will it snow in Coignashie this Christmas?
The current estimate is a 31% chance of a white Christmas in Coignashie in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
How often does Coignashie have a white Christmas?
The calibrated long-range estimate for Coignashie is 31%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
When did Coignashie last have a white Christmas?
The most recent white Christmas in Coignashie in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.