Local Christmas forecast · 2026
White Christmas in Aviemore?
Your local snow odds for Christmas Day, built from 34 winters of observations and our latest forecast model.
Scotland216 m elevation1 km local model
16%Chance of a white Christmas
What history says
Christmas snow in Aviemore
The calibrated long-range estimate for Aviemore is about 2 years in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2023.
16%
White Christmas
15%
Snow on the Day
7%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Aviemore, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
11of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
9596
97
98
99
2000s
White Christmas
00White Christmas
0102
03
White Christmas
0405
White Christmas
06White Christmas
0708
White Christmas
092010s
White Christmas
1011
12
13
White Christmas
1415
16
17
18
19
2020s
20
21
22
White Christmas
2324
25
26
27
28
29
About Aviemore
Elevation
216 m
Region
Scotland
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Aviemore sits at 216 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Aviemore this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 16% chance of a white Christmas in Aviemore in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Aviemore have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Aviemore is 16%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- When did Aviemore last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Aviemore in our 1991–2024 records was 2023.