Christmas 2026 snow forecast
Will it snow in Fairfield?
10%UnlikelyChance of a white Christmas
Christmas Day snow odds for Fairfield, from 34 winters of observations and our 1 km forecast model.
What history says
Christmas snow in Fairfield
The calibrated long-range estimate for Fairfield is about 1 year in 10. It combines the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid reconstruction with calibration across rolling historical test periods. The most recent modelled white Christmas in the underlying record was 2021.
10%
White Christmas
9%
Snow on the Day
4%
Snow on the Eve
Christmases in Fairfield, 1991–2024
Observed history
Snow fell on Christmas Eve or Day
7of 34
1990s
90
91
92
White Christmas
9394
White Christmas
9596
97
98
99
2000s
White Christmas
0001
02
03
White Christmas
0405
06
07
08
White Christmas
092010s
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
2020s
White Christmas
20White Christmas
2122
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
About Fairfield
Elevation
331 m
Region
East Midlands
Model
1 km, in-house
Higher and more northerly places tend to score better, and Fairfield sits at 331 m.
Nearby places
Frequently asked questions
- Will it snow in Fairfield this Christmas?
- The current estimate is a 10% chance of a white Christmas in Fairfield in 2026. This far out the number comes from our climate model; it sharpens on its own as the live forecast comes into range, within about a month of Christmas.
- How often does Fairfield have a white Christmas?
- The calibrated long-range estimate for Fairfield is 10%, based on the 1991–2024 HadUK-Grid record and rolling historical validation.
- Will it snow in Fairfield this winter?
- Very likely at some point. At Shawbury, the nearest long-running weather station (74 km away), snow has settled in 72% of winters, on about 4.6 days a winter, usually first around 18 January. Snow lies there in December in 28% of years.
- When did Fairfield last have a white Christmas?
- The most recent white Christmas in Fairfield in our 1991–2024 records was 2021.